ICML 2026 am I cooked? [D]

Hi, I am currently making the jump to ML from theoretical physics. I just got done with the review period, went from 4333 to 4433, but the remaining two weak rejects said 1) that if I add a parameter sweep and a small section (which I did) they’d raise, and the other reviewer said that if some of their questions were addressed properly they’d also raise the score. I think the most likely outcome is hopefully 4443, but with maybe a 30-40% chance of 4444. The area is deep learning theory. I have never been through the process of applying for conference papers as this is not as common in physics, what chances would you say I have of getting the paper accepted? I’m trying to secure funding for the conference and this information would be very helpful!